The virtual vote of 300 delegates from her party in California gives Kamala Harris the number of delegates needed to run for the White House. The Vice President of the United States now has far more than the 1,976 delegates she needs to win on the first ballot. And so the challenge to Donald Trump has been launched. The official announcement will arrive on August 7. In the meantime, she has spoken for the first time from her headquarters, attacking her opponent, who is known as a con man and a sexual predator. But he has also decided that he will not be in the Senate for Benjamin Netanyahu’s speech: Instead, he will meet the Israeli Prime Minister in private. But can Kamala Harris beat Trump? The polls currently put her at a disadvantage. But according to experts and political scientists, the candidate will be able to exploit some advantages.
Trump’s win will be more difficult
Meanwhile, he has already achieved a result. Donald Trump will be even more difficult to win, as The Nation’s John Nichols explains. daily occurrence“I think he fears Harris more than Biden. She will certainly be younger and more dynamic than him. She could aspire to match Obama’s performance in 2008 and 2012.” According to Nichols, in the polls “the president’s numbers have dropped significantly, while Harris’s numbers have improved. Above all, the vice president seems to be doing better than Biden in the key states where the presidential contest will really be decided.” While there will be no problems regarding the nomination: “The convention will be dominated by strong internal movements that will tend to close the votes to avoid disruption.”
“To hell with the ballot boxes!”
“To hell with what the polls say. We can throw them in the trash, they were all made a week ago,” he insisted instead. Republic Larry Sabato, a political scientist and head of the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia. “They still clearly see the Republican as the favorite. But I personally think he’s a dead horse. The Democrats can do it. And in any case, we should never look at the immediate impact of an event—in this case, a shooting—but the long-term impact. There’s a short time, but now the campaign is going to take another step, and it’s going to be very fast.” According to Sabato, Trump “is making extreme statements, saying things that don’t make sense and don’t have a grain of truth to them.” His acceptance speech “turned into a monologue with no rhyme or reason.” Trump “is not ready to face a mixed-blood woman.”
Biden and Harris
The indiscretion that Biden was reluctant to give up his candidacy because he was not convinced by Harris’s candidacy, according to Sabato, is false. “It was hard for Biden to accept that his time had passed. The presidency had been the ambition of his entire political life. In 2020 he had won a very difficult election and now he had just been nominated by very high percentages. In the end, he gave in because the people he trusted told him so, the friends he knew were on his side, and they certainly did not conspire against him. His condition is deteriorating faster, and this is clear to everyone. It has now become impossible to ‘sell’ him as president for the next four years, when everyone was convinced that he would not hold up even for the next four months.”
“We will win”
“I know the campaign has been a roller coaster, but we still have 106 days to go and we will win. I want to earn the nomination and defeat Donald Trump. When we fight, we win,” Harris began in Wilmington, at the Republican Party headquarters. Biden’s campaign now bears his name. After being greeted with a standing ovation by staff and campaign leaders Jen O’Malley Dillon and Julie Chavez, she immediately asserted that she was in a line of complete continuity. Her husband was also there, and she kissed him. “In this election, each of us faces a question: What kind of country do we want to live in? In a country of freedom and compassion and respect for the law, or in a country of anarchy and fear and hatred?” Harris said. He then promised to put reproductive rights at the heart of his campaign, starting with abortion, gun control, with sweeping controls on purchasers, red flag laws (against people deemed dangerous), and a ban on assault weapons.
Netanyahu’s case
Meanwhile, the Netanyahu issue is dancing. Harris will not be present in the Senate for the Israeli prime minister’s speech, but will meet with him privately. This is a decision that was already made before Biden’s withdrawal. “He had a previous commitment to Indianapolis,” an aide to Harris tried to downplay, who appears to want to take a tougher stance on Israel and its handling of the war in Gaza, also against the backdrop of protests from the Democratic base.
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